A Russian tanker is currently en route to Cuba carrying oil the island desperately needs. The timing is not incidental. It lands as Donald Trump softens his posture toward Moscow for what is, by now, an uncountable number of times — each retreat dressed up as diplomacy, each concession framed as dealmaking. The pattern is too consistent to be coincidence and too durable to be strategy. Trump does not appease Putin because he is outmaneuvered.